Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4106fb2593369bb3583c10e98dd8f119e0ac2b92e05bd3ef938f0bbba13830f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 3,879$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 14c | 2,188$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,431$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 681.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 31c | 603.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 69c | 475.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 456.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 441.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under | 70c | 418.75$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 23c | 398.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 7c | 299.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 71c | 282.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 197.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 19c | 130.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 44c | 120.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 116.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 34c | 84.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 70c | 65.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 68c | 59.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 18c | 58.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 52c | 52.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 42.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 38.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 71c | 29.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 71c | 28.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…f85ebacked Under | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.