Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d606e29b68c9b7bd18d0c27ff3fcfffe12a37242ed32f8012a119f547594ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Leeds United FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Leeds United FC | 21c | 114,030$23,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,216.3 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 98,876$78,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,112.4 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 11,899$9,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,442.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 1,400$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 72c | 1,139$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 635.7$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 512.25$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Leeds United FC | 20c | 476$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Leeds United FC | 18c | 475.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 460$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 450.78$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 407.21$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 269.16$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 249.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Leeds United FC | 44c | 194.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Leeds United FC | 20c | 99.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Leeds United FC | 18c | 85.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…e5f2backed Leeds United FC | 54c | 76.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Leeds United FC | 52c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 47.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…e545backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 45.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Leeds United FC | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Leeds United FC | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Leeds United FC | 27c | 42.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Leeds United FC | 58c | 40.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…bd88backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 42c | 36.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 36.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Leeds United FC | 57c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Leeds United FC | 65c | 16.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.