Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x218f7e2ee10dde16a828ab0cb9b809ebd2471ea54c687ceaced14c4eec9a7ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $926,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $926,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 206,649$104,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,971.06 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 49c | 189,265$93,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,126.19 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 50c | 179,663$90,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,274.58 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 53c | 177,748$93,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,831.11 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 50c | 174,427$87,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,494.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 52,306$25,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,129.37 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 50c | 47,393$23,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,844.64 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 35,724$18,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,395.43 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 35,429$17,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,224.04 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 51c | 20,000$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 50c | 16,560$8,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.2 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 15,636$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.9 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 52c | 15,606$8,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 47c | 14,762$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,895.9 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 13,233$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.66 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 12,976$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,253.69 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 12,752$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 51c | 12,639$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…5986backed Yes | 48c | 12,317$5,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 47c | 11,428$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.02 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 9,919$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 53c | 9,688$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 8,424$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.23 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 50c | 8,135$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.33 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes | 52c | 8,124$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 52c | 7,794$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 55c | 7,364$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.81 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 45c | 7,337$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.52 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 25c | 7,183$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…addfbacked Yes | 49c | 7,041$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 48c | 6,896$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 47c | 5,285$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.54 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 52c | 5,021$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 48c | 4,600$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 52c | 4,576$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.26 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 75c | 4,455$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.34 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,469$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 3,466$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.8 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 52c | 3,304$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 51c | 3,279$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.85 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,212$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.71 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yes | 72c | 3,191$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 50c | 2,977$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 53c | 2,707$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.66 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 52c | 2,552$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.14 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 2,356$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.89 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 48c | 2,302$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 52c | 2,263$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 47c | 2,120$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 49c | 2,059$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.98 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 45c | 2,025$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 52c | 2,017$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 55c | 1,960$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 1,957$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.78 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 1,933$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 53c | 1,910$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.76 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed No | 71c | 1,890$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,754$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.73 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 52c | 1,741$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 49c | 1,664$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 50c | 1,528$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 1,472$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.68 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 1,464$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.48 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 49c | 1,362$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 52c | 1,330$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.24 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 49c | 1,303$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.53 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 75c | 1,275$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 26c | 1,248$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.37 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 53c | 1,159$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 53c | 1,122$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 50c | 1,107$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 1,098$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 36c | 1,045$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,021$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 986.08$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 54c | 982.67$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 49c | 948$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.51 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 49c | 935.39$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.56 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 46c | 929.37$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 50c | 908.54$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…332bbacked Yes | 60c | 902.41$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.