Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x883181e1c2968a7be0996d880ef5c2d0674b416f5dad2b7036950ce8db21241a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 42c | 323,351$136,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,379.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 66c | 144,652$95,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,417.37 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 141,221$69,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,206.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 80c | 105,829$84,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,165.7 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 32,790$26,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 50c | 23,141$11,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.6 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 80c | 18,627$14,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.17 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 74c | 6,936$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.55 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 4,271$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.9 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 61c | 2,955$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…5658backed Yes | 61c | 2,570$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 49c | 2,290$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 2,220$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 35c | 2,128$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.47 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 70c | 1,902$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 64c | 1,337$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 51c | 1,256$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.8 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 1,171$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,041$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 950$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 519$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 460$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 64c | 434.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 52c | 399.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…f636backed Yes | 77c | 390.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 23c | 331.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 54c | 184.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 73c | 162.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…1969backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 69c | 133.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes | 18c | 122.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 77c | 103.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 26c | 102.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 73c | 101.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…0119backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 56c | 97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…6f7dbacked Yes | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5badbacked Yes | 75c | 93.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 22c | 91.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 76c | 70.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 47c | 69.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 36c | 69.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 71c | 65.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 60c | 60.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 59.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…2940backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 23c | 44.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…412ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1439backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…6137backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…1440backed No | 74c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.