Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Sebastian Korda vs Ugo Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919b8106a29bae02cd26e52c3efb1e44c3877609ce6ca3268cef2274fea2a427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Korda, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Korda | 45c | 10,857$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.39 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Humbert | 47c | 7,132$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Korda | 0c | 5,080$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Humbert | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Korda | 51c | 3,345$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.89 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Humbert | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Humbert | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Korda | 10c | 1,327$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd9…2835backed Korda | 61c | 1,128$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Korda | 54c | 992.61$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korda | 31c | 653.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Humbert | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Humbert | 45c | 561$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Humbert | 49c | 536.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Korda | 56c | 528.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Humbert | 45c | 509.85$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Korda | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Korda | 44c | 470.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Korda | 57c | 313.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Korda | 52c | 303.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Humbert | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Humbert | 44c | 237.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…f6a8backed Korda | 55c | 230.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Humbert | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Humbert | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Humbert | 48c | 208.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Humbert | 46c | 205.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Humbert | 43c | 203$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Humbert | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Humbert | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Humbert | 46c | 197.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Humbert | 48c | 157.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Humbert | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Humbert | 48c | 122.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda | 12c | 101.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Humbert | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Korda | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Humbert | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Humbert | 77c | 87.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Korda | 44c | 85.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Korda | 57c | 64.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Humbert | 73c | 54.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Humbert | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Humbert | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Humbert | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Korda | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Humbert | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Humbert | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Korda | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Korda | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…7613backed Korda | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Humbert | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Humbert | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…683fbacked Humbert | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…b925backed Korda | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Humbert | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…09ddbacked Humbert | 50c | 23.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.