La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5085ebc9be789bc61d289bf764f84a59170cb94a4172064a33dc9f6334c05a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Yes | 67c | 11,341$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 66c | 7,200$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 34c | 3,532$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.83 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 35c | 2,222$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 34c | 1,509$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 35c | 757.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 67c | 747.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 507.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 67c | 490.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 67c | 319.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 66c | 318$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 36c | 309.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 288.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 33c | 277.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 38c | 263.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 33c | 255.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 31c | 248$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 15c | 210.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 18c | 198$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes | 67c | 196.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 65c | 132.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 121.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 35c | 109.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 63c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 84.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 37c | 76.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 69c | 69.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 67c | 53.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 66c | 52.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 34c | 52.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…99edbacked No | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 36c | 34.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…9111backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 77c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…fb1abacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…7613backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Girona win on 2025-08-24?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Girona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.