TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5528…bf5cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes16c13,685$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.6127235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No74c4,122$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.87256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,086$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No80c2,722$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.2951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No73c2,194$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c1,548$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c1,337$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6720027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No73c1,234$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1721154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c1,215$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No75c1,140$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2859849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28021353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6e…1e63backed Yes25c850$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c741.06$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes8c698.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3611227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-79.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes27c427$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.295431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No73c400.17$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.759150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8931655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes27c394.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No73c389$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0339561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes28c357.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes26c299.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7932822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2713342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No73c214.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes5c207.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a54…42f1backed Yes26c199.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes27c199.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9915726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes21c189$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.692060%12 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes9c181.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Yes19c133.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c133.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes28c132.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962931%9 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.587869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf147…b7acbacked Yes12c123.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3d…e2afbacked Yes28c107.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes28c101.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5429238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No74c88.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.772254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No74c86.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8721…c2b1backed No73c83.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No75c81.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9929…0b40backed Yes27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6d…1e3dbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes28c75.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.173231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3773…fb13backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef3…acdfbacked Yes25c73.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…b865backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fd05backed No74c50.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1317153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b98…d5d8backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f7…f12bbacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes25c49.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.525532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Yes27c46.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked No74c40.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c37.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed No78c35.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…8dfebacked No73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No75c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.314946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No72c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a76…2023backed No75c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+80.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No75c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1414953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No73c18.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No73c16.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb030…9afdbacked No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.92166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No75c14.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.713560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.