Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb1646759bc462a42bf850546302e296c9f6a4d062fab289fa94d9a97ce87d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 11c | 102,111$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 3,067$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 78c | 2,594$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.57 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 15c | 2,163$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.48 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 2,093$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.08 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 28c | 1,490$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,053$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.81 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 17c | 1,053$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,014$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 977.64$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.47 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 914.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.25 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 66c | 850.8$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 54c | 663$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 75c | 470.04$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 30c | 333.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 46c | 311.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 303.93$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 244.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked No | 73c | 244.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 29c | 221.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 30c | 219.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 189.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 30c | 166.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 67c | 164.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 70c | 158.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 152.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 27c | 133$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 16c | 96.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 71c | 79.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked No | 72c | 74.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.7wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3629backed Yes | 31c | 48.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 77c | 39.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 36.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 42c | 35.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…3f8abacked Yes | 62c | 32.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…efe8backed No | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.