Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaaf391d355b6d681e93a5356d5954fc6583979b0c4ac2ea23f8f434a7eb0dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 53c | 129,957$68,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,079.56 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 47c | 78,647$36,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,964.13 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 47c | 69,195$32,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,444.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 38,087$16,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,811.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 50c | 29,337$14,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.13 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 51c | 28,106$14,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,240.45 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 47c | 9,534$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.81 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 54c | 8,810$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.55 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 5,965$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.98 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 46c | 5,889$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 5,718$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.07 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 5,321$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.53 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 44c | 4,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 53c | 2,982$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.97 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,771$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.47 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 2,460$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.75 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 53c | 2,377$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.19 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 2,241$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.67 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,718$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 1,718$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,634$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.96 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 49c | 1,607$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,490$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 54c | 1,388$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.92 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 1,324$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,242$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 43c | 1,210$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.33 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes | 47c | 1,113$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 56c | 1,105$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 34c | 1,092$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.88 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 41c | 978.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.24 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 51c | 900.11$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.06 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 66c | 889.1$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 867$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 32c | 839.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 620.85$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed No | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 42c | 568.86$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.87 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 53c | 540.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 501.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 498.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 480$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 62c | 456.8$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 53c | 444$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 55c | 396.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 54c | 395.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 63c | 317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 53c | 294$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 45c | 269.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 51c | 264.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 51c | 240.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 64c | 236.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…9520backed Yes | 47c | 214.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 17c | 189.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 176.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 43c | 164.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 48c | 162.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…3705backed Yes | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 43c | 155.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 64c | 155.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 56c | 155.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 59c | 116$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 47c | 114.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 40c | 108.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.