TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34f7…f12b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$179.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$67.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$286
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$74.4
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$55.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$34.76
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.54
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$121.9
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$102
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$42.55
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$186.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$96.6
Temple vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$70.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$34.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.