Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-07?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af9bf6142e00404fd424b29675b9aa4c15b3d3197a2539e003c06999852b645

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,771 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xea32…8870backed Yes	30c	30,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…61f0backed No	71c	15,461$10,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,483.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No	70c	13,646$9,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,093.8	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	27c	7,821$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.62	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No	71c	6,388$4,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,844.18	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	70c	4,437$3,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.17	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	29c	4,267$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,226.76	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	30c	3,050$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	3c	2,294$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.52	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No	70c	2,000$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	30c	1,931$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.97	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No	69c	1,747$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.51	159	44.7%71 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	70c	1,600$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	70c	1,597$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.9	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes	30c	1,287$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes	3c	1,184$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.08	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	10c	1,073$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.53	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes	31c	775$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.25	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	34.9%60 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	70c	653$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.9	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes	29c	446.87$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.59	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes	29c	422.97$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.66	210	49%103 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	29c	400$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	29c	395.42$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.21	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed No	72c	350$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	62cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes	29c	344.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes	28c	308.72$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.65	123	24.4%30 W · 93 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f7…f12bbacked Yes	28c	280$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed No	70c	277.12$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.14	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes	18c	276.37$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-6.2wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No	70c	220$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7611…c5d0backed No	72c	210$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	61cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	30c	206.52$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.96	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	180	52.2%94 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	69c	199.99$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	31c	199.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.99	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	31c	165.68$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes	26c	132.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1090…a501backed Yes	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+52%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	29c	95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes	30c	91.16$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	226	58.8%133 W · 93 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	12c	90.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No	75c	89.65$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.35	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes	29c	87.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	114	60.5%69 W · 45 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No	71c	83.88$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.33	202	46.5%94 W · 108 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3154…67f5backed Yes	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes	30c	75.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes	14c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa001…5c59backed No	72c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	35.8%63 W · 113 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	28c	63.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…787dbacked Yes	31c	62.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	73cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Yes	29c	54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes	30c	50.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	94	60.6%57 W · 37 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	401	57.6%231 W · 170 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	29c	48.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes	29c	46.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No	72c	37$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.36	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes	30c	36.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No	70c	34.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcffe…146dbacked No	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed No	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x657e…9fa5backed No	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No	71c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ca…b6dbbacked No	70c	22.94$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No	71c	20.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.86	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb3…bbf7backed No	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0768…1783backed No	70c	19.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5f…16fbbacked No	70c	19.88$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.96	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49d9…7e2ebacked No	70c	19.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No	70c	18.57$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.57	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No	72c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No	73c	13.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.7	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?No won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-07?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event