Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d50366dd96e8e43be287f120167f78d7a0fc115d649caa176a7a30312d39f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 4c | 4,169$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 80c | 2,800$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,699$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 1,550$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 15c | 1,224$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 27c | 1,146$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 69c | 839.01$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.92 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 682.1$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.68 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 502.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 17c | 388.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 75c | 346.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 72c | 291.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 72c | 278.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed No | 60c | 209.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 13c | 204.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed No | 19c | 188$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 176.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 155.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 76c | 150.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…a526backed Yes | 45c | 144.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Yes | 78c | 128.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 67c | 122.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…09d2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 72c | 94.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Yes | 74c | 85.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 23c | 84.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 30c | 76.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…8e9fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Yes | 73c | 54.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…3ea3backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 23c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 71c | 38.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 36.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 73c | 19.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Panathinaikos end in a draw?No won
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.