MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d72e97b1c89abf0fa322159c0df65e8cf87a502e3a4cfc8ce7258a1afb36fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 12,401$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.56 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 12,285$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 10,818$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.97 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 10,677$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,552.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 10,077$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 9,892$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.84 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 8,827$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.19 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 5,815$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 5,552$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 5,478$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.35 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 4,808$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 4,676$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.88 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 4,624$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 4,612$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.45 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 4,532$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.69 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 4,194$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 4,105$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 3,873$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,996$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 2,914$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,504$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.7 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,425$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.49 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,073$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.41 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,821$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.62 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,785$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 1,471$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 1,466$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,368$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,329$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 1,307$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.86 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,241$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,172$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.55 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,169$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,167$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.25 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,150$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.84 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,124$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.72 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.11 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,060$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.54 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…8c15backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 981$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 961.39$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 955$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 951.7$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.37 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 932.53$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 931.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 925.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 924.86$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.58 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 917.5$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 887.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 871.18$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 835.05$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 804.89$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 799.33$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 769.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 766.55$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 729.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 711.72$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 697.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.96 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 676.93$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 676.08$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 666.45$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…f19abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 660.87$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 650.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 649.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 648.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 636.8$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 615.74$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 602.72$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 584.36$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 583.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 562.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 551.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 532.71$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 499.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…8ac9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 489.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 472.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 462.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 462.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 458.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 433.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 415.04$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 389$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…787fbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 382.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 379.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 376.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 341.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 339.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 335.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 318.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 317.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.