Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x330f7eb4e8368c923c8e161c33527d14c496865fb11fdeb183450769c1356f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe852…0235backed Yes | 30c | 14,104$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 70c | 14,039$9,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.97 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 4,031$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.37 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 3,446$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.07 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.3 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 2,141$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.64 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 20c | 1,967$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 71c | 1,608$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.81 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 72c | 1,427$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…f584backed Yes | 28c | 1,188$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 70c | 1,138$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.27 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 75c | 1,012$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 69c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 571.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 533.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 519.07$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 29c | 510.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 497.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 456$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 69c | 448.23$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 30c | 436.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 30c | 426.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 350.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 30c | 302.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 269.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 33c | 266.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 73c | 223.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…d953backed Yes | 30c | 215.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 32c | 205.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 29c | 204.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 72c | 171.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…96d8backed Yes | 30c | 165.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 30c | 161.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 21c | 140.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 31c | 130.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 31c | 127.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…a321backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 101.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…a9f3backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…e61ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 71c | 78.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Yes | 29c | 77.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 71c | 74.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…48edbacked Yes | 29c | 69.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…143bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 63.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…4e02backed Yes | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…66acbacked Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 30c | 43.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…7613backed Yes | 31c | 42.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed No | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.