Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4d1e07eebc48b9de712c1210d717fc1703b560a67fdd32485ca180ea563bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 62c | 3,567$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 34c | 2,241$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 33c | 2,113$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 71c | 2,043$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 79c | 671.16$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 75c | 339.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 216.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 184.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 70c | 145.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 31c | 120.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 29c | 59.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1c75backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.