Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7363741ccac5c2c5cbf24b83790e480b0aee4ab423b8017f05f816e65934b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked No | 52c | 31,472$16,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,384.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 41c | 21,411$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,648.89 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 49c | 8,592$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.45 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 6,520$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.25 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Yes | 49c | 3,929$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,771$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.82 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 50c | 2,882$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 40c | 2,413$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 32c | 1,584$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.33 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 1,516$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.68 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 41c | 1,465$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 1,222$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.76 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 60c | 1,084$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 40c | 862.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.2 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 677$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 621.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed No | 59c | 616.27$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 44c | 544.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 41c | 490.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 60c | 489$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Yes | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked No | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 346.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…08f2backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 47c | 230.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 39c | 172.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 61c | 164.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yes | 74c | 143.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 124$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b2c8backed No | 63c | 90.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 87.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 61c | 65.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 58c | 50.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…b7f0backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 61c | 29.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…9f71backed No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.