Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccad1244b4228466bada93083f63324bf0839533b5fea80daaa972511f87a642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 58c | 16,889$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 43c | 9,964$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 9,734$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Over | 56c | 9,683$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 6,454$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 54c | 6,374$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 5,999$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.49 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 5,468$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.15 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 47c | 5,042$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 4,581$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 4,528$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.32 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 4,364$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.88 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.6 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 3,484$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.71 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Over | 55c | 3,298$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 73c | 2,692$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.63 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Under | 47c | 2,324$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Over | 49c | 2,161$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 44c | 2,143$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.49 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 31c | 1,958$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +291.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 1,825$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.23 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 1,805$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 1,692$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.51 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,553$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 45c | 1,451$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Over | 54c | 1,354$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 1,062$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Over | 57c | 1,025$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 55c | 930.25$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…0182backed Over | 55c | 865$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Over | 55c | 829.42$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 709.89$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Over | 55c | 654.56$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 2c | 566.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 478.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 467.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 53c | 447$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 435.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 54c | 432.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 431.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 45c | 430.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 57c | 358.45$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 350.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…5eabbacked Over | 57c | 341.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 57c | 306.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 55c | 295.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…868fbacked Under | 54c | 294.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 289.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 43c | 249.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 67c | 209.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 30c | 204.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 203$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…5c7cbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Under | 51c | 189$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 173.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 45c | 173.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 173.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 45c | 173.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 45c | 172.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 54c | 149.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…ec8ebacked Over | 54c | 139.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Under | 47c | 138.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 57c | 138.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 58c | 137.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 43c | 132.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 44c | 131.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.