TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aston Villa FCof Aston Villa FC, Bologna FC 1909
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Aston Villa FC40c60,246$24,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,127.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bologna FC 190960c29,319$17,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,606.432850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 190960c17,180$10,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,266.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Aston Villa FC40c11,233$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bologna FC 190959c7,801$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,602.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 190960c6,665$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.672,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Bologna FC 190961c5,057$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.725635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Aston Villa FC48c3,496$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.3284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Bologna FC 190960c2,525$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.991080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Aston Villa FC36c1,804$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.625653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6764…ae37backed Bologna FC 190964c1,227$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Bologna FC 190962c1,116$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Aston Villa FC37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bologna FC 190961c1,078$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.2291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Aston Villa FC38c1,013$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.351723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bologna FC 190959c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Bologna FC 190959c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bologna FC 190959c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Bologna FC 190964c924.39$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Aston Villa FC40c813.6$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8514552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Aston Villa FC41c807.7$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.542347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7695…9cedbacked Aston Villa FC38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Bologna FC 190960c708.33$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bologna FC 190961c612.15$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4410956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Bologna FC 19095c578.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.917328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Bologna FC 190963c571$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Bologna FC 190959c552.77$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.132828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Bologna FC 190960c526.01$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.713033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Bologna FC 190963c514.19$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8749…bc74backed Bologna FC 190963c484.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bologna FC 190960c418.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99e…28fbbacked Bologna FC 190964c417.59$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bologna FC 190963c364.91$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb655…6895backed Bologna FC 190964c357.12$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Aston Villa FC36c339.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.584254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bologna FC 190961c328.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.338047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Bologna FC 190962c320.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.836159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Aston Villa FC37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20f1…5fcbbacked Bologna FC 190963c290.41$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Bologna FC 190960c273.66$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Aston Villa FC39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1cd…d76cbacked Bologna FC 190963c245.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Bologna FC 190957c224.62$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.299056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f86…5bb2backed Bologna FC 190963c219.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Aston Villa FC35c217.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Aston Villa FC41c199.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.531283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x97e4…2d33backed Bologna FC 190963c186.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0aa…9d12backed Bologna FC 190963c183.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Bologna FC 190961c182.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.021,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Bologna FC 190959c176$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Bologna FC 190963c168.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Bologna FC 190962c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.723161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Bologna FC 190963c155.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.788853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Bologna FC 190961c151.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Bologna FC 190962c130.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.173655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Aston Villa FC39c128.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.172437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Aston Villa FC40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.35433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Aston Villa FC47c110.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.247237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab5…fa69backed Bologna FC 190963c99.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Bologna FC 190965c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bologna FC 190953c97.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3212633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4499…8bdbbacked Aston Villa FC37c96.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Bologna FC 190961c94.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bologna FC 190963c93.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6713046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Aston Villa FC37c91.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Aston Villa FC37c77.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Aston Villa FC39c61.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.678349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Aston Villa FC40c60.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.151747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Aston Villa FC40c60.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.157357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Bologna FC 190955c59.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.553644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Bologna FC 190962c58.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Bologna FC 190961c56.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…bbc1backed Bologna FC 190963c53.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Aston Villa FC40c51.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bologna FC 190950c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.188733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Bologna FC 190961c45.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…c13bbacked Aston Villa FC39c44.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Bologna FC 190961c41.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55f…aaf9backed Aston Villa FC39c39.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Bologna FC 190963c39.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.645448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Bologna FC 190963c38.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.454546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bologna FC 190933c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8616013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Bologna FC 190962c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Bologna FC 190961c27.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.157656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…95c0backed Aston Villa FC38c27.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Bologna FC 190961c24.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.657855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Aston Villa FC80c22.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Bologna FC 190961c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Bologna FC 190964c21.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.034358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Bologna FC 190961c21.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Bologna FC 190961c21.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.196956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Aston Villa FC51c19.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6135944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ce…94aabacked Bologna FC 190961c18.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454d…1359backed Bologna FC 190961c18.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.