Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d4c44513d0383290224ee0f0917b09b767ec2e2e98774541d1b91b982eaaf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 11,547$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Under | 24c | 4,607$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 32c | 4,307$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 2,320$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 1,436$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.63 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 34c | 1,406$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 43c | 1,126$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 64c | 838.41$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 32c | 784.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.29 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 31c | 754.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 12c | 700$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 650$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 633.14$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.43 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 597.35$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 542.44$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…efdcbacked Over | 23c | 506$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 32c | 499.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 478.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.91 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 14c | 465$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 428.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 421.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.3 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 405.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 15c | 379.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 347.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Under | 54c | 338.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 257.3$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 255.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 48c | 234.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 231.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 227.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 67c | 204.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Over | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 197.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 10c | 197.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 39c | 170.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 61c | 149.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 141.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 66c | 131.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +250.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…d413backed Under | 33c | 118.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 69c | 113.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Under | 17c | 113.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Over | 79c | 113.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 45c | 99.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Over | 33c | 96.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 93.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 91.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Under | 66c | 86.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 85.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…c1ebbacked Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 80c | 69.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 34c | 59.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 51c | 58.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 57.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 77c | 56.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 38c | 53.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Over | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 45.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Over | 68c | 44.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 63c | 43.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…b859backed Under | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 35c | 37.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1eb1backed Over | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 69c | 34.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Over | 80c | 33.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 68c | 32.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 42c | 30.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 71c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 65c | 28.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 68c | 25.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Under | 68c | 20.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…c2a1backed Over | 79c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.