TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c11,547$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.683,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Under24c4,607$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under32c4,307$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c2,320$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.072,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.975653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over29c1,436$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.6312832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over34c1,406$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over43c1,126$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.634045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over64c838.41$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c784.25$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over31c754.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.892850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under12c700$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c650$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c633.14$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4314552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c597.35$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.558550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under63c542.44$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.441741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…efdcbacked Over23c506$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over32c499.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c478.83$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c478.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.015927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under14c465$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.152222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c428.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over34c421.63$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.36235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c405.05$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.711,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under15c379.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.941936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c347.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Under54c338.54$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under66c296.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under65c257.3$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2110956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c255.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over48c234.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.191662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c231.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under38c227.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under67c204.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.349345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over33c203.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.41425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over48c197.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.953348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under10c197.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over39c170.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.32650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under61c149.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4711443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over49c148.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.678130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under69c141.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.168853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.222040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under66c131.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.599056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+250.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under33c118.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under69c113.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.581560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Under17c113.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Over79c113.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over45c99.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3f…ae90backed Over33c96.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c93.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over32c91.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.171,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.685345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Under66c86.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over29c85.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7326647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over25c76.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.965040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8761…c1ebbacked Under67c73.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0130%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over80c69.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.213366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.193878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over32c59.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over34c59.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.159222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under51c58.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over59c57.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.317855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over77c56.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.937328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under38c53.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.389141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over60c50.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.115562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Over32c47.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c45.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4263857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Under54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.312268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Over68c44.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under63c43.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.158349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e4…b859backed Under35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6316856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over35c37.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.363060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1eb1backed Over27c37.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under71c34.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.574546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under69c34.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.554045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…eb14backed Over80c33.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under68c32.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over42c30.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.613857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over71c28.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under65c28.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.579164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over45c25.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under68c25.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.353030%9 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Under68c20.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under67c19.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.135455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9975…c2a1backed Over79c18.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.