UFC · resolved market
Park vs. Aliskerov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6572a1f6971be0ad7762a2b07147c91f343b71c0e0a33b087eebf260379b4ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliskerovof Park, Aliskerov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Park | 4c | 47,182$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.82 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Park | 33c | 35,618$11,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.85 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Park | 33c | 35,616$11,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.29 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 31,606$21,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,430.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Aliskerov | 66c | 26,000$17,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Aliskerov | 67c | 25,927$17,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.91 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…4b16backed Park | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Park | 34c | 24,678$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,369.87 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Aliskerov | 69c | 19,413$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,017.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Aliskerov | 68c | 13,930$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Park | 27c | 10,642$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.01 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Park | 31c | 6,495$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Park | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Park | 34c | 5,734$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.3 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Park | 27c | 5,125$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.66 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Park | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Park | 31c | 4,348$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.83 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Aliskerov | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Park | 34c | 4,200$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Park | 33c | 4,013$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.29 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aliskerov | 68c | 3,542$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.73 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Park | 32c | 3,450$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.98 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Aliskerov | 77c | 3,394$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Aliskerov | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Park | 30c | 2,908$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.74 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Park | 30c | 2,629$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.66 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Aliskerov | 66c | 2,301$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Park | 33c | 2,257$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.79 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aliskerov | 68c | 2,209$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.86 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Park | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Aliskerov | 67c | 2,040$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Aliskerov | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Park | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Park | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 1,746$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Aliskerov | 66c | 1,740$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Aliskerov | 66c | 1,686$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.8 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Park | 33c | 1,498$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Park | 31c | 1,404$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.3 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Park | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Park | 33c | 1,363$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Aliskerov | 78c | 1,306$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Park | 42c | 1,297$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 1,272$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Aliskerov | 67c | 1,068$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 1,009$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.81 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Aliskerov | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Park | 31c | 934$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Park | 37c | 929.73$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Aliskerov | 68c | 794.15$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Park | 33c | 790$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.7 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Park | 34c | 775.37$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Aliskerov | 67c | 744.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Aliskerov | 67c | 716.42$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aliskerov | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Aliskerov | 67c | 692.54$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…2aa0backed Aliskerov | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Park | 41c | 628.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Park | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Park | 35c | 600$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 599.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aliskerov | 77c | 583.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Park | 34c | 580$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Park | 32c | 525$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Aliskerov | 69c | 515.24$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Aliskerov | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Park | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Park | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…ef35backed Aliskerov | 67c | 453.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Aliskerov | 69c | 412.26$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…518cbacked Aliskerov | 70c | 411.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Aliskerov | 68c | 399.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Aliskerov | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 350.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Park | 7c | 325.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Aliskerov | 68c | 325$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…eff8backed Park | 34c | 320$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Aliskerov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Aliskerov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Aliskerov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Aliskerov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Park | 32c | 294.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Aliskerov | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Aliskerov | 67c | 275.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed Park | 32c | 275.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Park | 34c | 272.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Aliskerov | 67c | 259.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Park | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Park | 26c | 247.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Aliskerov | 67c | 232.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Park | 35c | 225.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Park | 29c | 220.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Aliskerov | 75c | 214$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Aliskerov | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Aliskerov | 69c | 209.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Aliskerov | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Park | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Aliskerov | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Park | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Park vs. Aliskerovthis page
- Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
- Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.