UFC · resolved market
Dern vs. Jandiroba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56e8b87aa04699b6f0764481cb3a4a2dbb12188ec358bd5224986e30735f934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dernof Dern, Jandiroba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,794,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,959,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Jandiroba | 44c | 993,090$437,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437,699.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Dern | 56c | 260,000$145,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,400 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dern | 56c | 200,000$111,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,999.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dern | 56c | 160,000$89,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,400 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Dern | 55c | 111,110$61,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,999.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dern | 56c | 97,372$54,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,910.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Dern | 59c | 92,500$54,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,775 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Jandiroba | 45c | 82,881$37,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,296.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jandiroba | 27c | 77,585$20,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,685.92 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…d2aabacked Jandiroba | 0c | 61,680$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dern | 56c | 59,998$33,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,199.3 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dern | 55c | 47,500$26,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,225 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Dern | 61c | 46,596$28,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,369.75 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…6facbacked Dern | 57c | 44,123$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,122.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jandiroba | 45c | 35,779$16,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100.55 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dern | 56c | 31,100$17,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,595 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Jandiroba | 45c | 29,191$13,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,075.07 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Dern | 57c | 23,237$13,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,077.97 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dern | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Jandiroba | 21c | 14,123$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.35 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Jandiroba | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Jandiroba | 43c | 11,947$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Dern | 56c | 11,750$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jandiroba | 43c | 10,372$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.67 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Jandiroba | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dern | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Dern | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Dern | 77c | 9,897$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Jandiroba | 43c | 8,119$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Dern | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dern | 55c | 7,332$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.7 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Jandiroba | 45c | 6,717$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Jandiroba | 45c | 6,676$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dern | 66c | 6,629$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.15 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dern | 55c | 6,004$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.16 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dern | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dern | 57c | 5,834$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.52 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Dern | 59c | 5,500$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Jandiroba | 37c | 5,500$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Dern | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Dern | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…34a4backed Jandiroba | 40c | 4,825$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dern | 55c | 4,806$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Jandiroba | 45c | 4,440$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dern | 68c | 4,230$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.33 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Dern | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dern | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dern | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dern | 55c | 3,989$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dern | 56c | 3,783$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.06 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dern | 55c | 3,669$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.61 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…84aabacked Dern | 61c | 3,648$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Dern | 57c | 3,448$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.34 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Dern | 57c | 3,308$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…97f4backed Dern | 56c | 3,052$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Jandiroba | 50c | 3,044$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Dern | 56c | 3,008$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.61 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…4364backed Dern | 57c | 3,008$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Dern | 57c | 2,867$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.12 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Dern | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Dern | 56c | 2,668$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.52 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jandiroba | 33c | 2,505$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.88 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dern | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.03 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Dern | 55c | 2,500$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dern | 57c | 2,500$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Dern | 56c | 2,399$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dern | 56c | 2,280$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.31 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Dern | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Jandiroba | 40c | 1,810$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jandiroba | 42c | 1,745$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.85 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Dern | 56c | 1,624$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Dern | 56c | 1,608$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Dern | 56c | 1,583$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jandiroba | 43c | 1,525$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Dern | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jandiroba | 44c | 1,434$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dern | 57c | 1,372$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.91 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Jandiroba | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.22 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Jandiroba | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.04 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Jandiroba | 42c | 1,250$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Dern | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Dern | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Jandiroba | 42c | 1,127$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Jandiroba | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Jandiroba | 36c | 1,085$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…1fe3backed Dern | 58c | 1,028$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Dern | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Dern | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Dern | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Dern | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dern | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dern | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Dern | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Dern | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Dern | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Dern | 58c | 996.29$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Jandiroba | 45c | 978.68$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Dern | 75c | 962.96$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Jandiroba | 43c | 949.5$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.98 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Jandiroba | 46c | 946.14$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dern vs. Jandirobathis page
- Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
- Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.