UFC · resolved market
Haqparast vs. Salkilld
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0844cd6179633527dee723c5f745cd73ed5ecc87de2767e8bfae8814199eee3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salkilldof Haqparast, Salkilld
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Salkilld | 56c | 39,266$21,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,412.38 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Haqparast | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Salkilld | 52c | 29,803$15,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,305.31 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Haqparast | 48c | 29,719$14,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,230.48 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Salkilld | 54c | 10,000$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Haqparast | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Haqparast | 49c | 4,609$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.25 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Haqparast | 47c | 4,500$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.97 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Haqparast | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Salkilld | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Salkilld | 52c | 3,364$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Salkilld | 53c | 3,249$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Salkilld | 52c | 3,238$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Haqparast | 46c | 2,800$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Salkilld | 53c | 2,742$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.8 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Haqparast | 46c | 2,556$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Haqparast | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Salkilld | 51c | 2,490$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.19 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Haqparast | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Salkilld | 51c | 1,976$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.09 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Salkilld | 51c | 1,961$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.42 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Haqparast | 46c | 1,935$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.32 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Haqparast | 46c | 1,907$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked Haqparast | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Haqparast | 52c | 1,853$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.61 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Haqparast | 46c | 1,840$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.4 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Salkilld | 54c | 1,365$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.07 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Haqparast | 46c | 1,149$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.57 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Salkilld | 52c | 1,135$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Haqparast | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Haqparast | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Haqparast | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Haqparast | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Salkilld | 53c | 932.63$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.24 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Salkilld | 49c | 930$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Haqparast | 46c | 693.41$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Haqparast | 48c | 597$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Haqparast | 49c | 560$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Haqparast | 49c | 541.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Salkilld | 53c | 539.37$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Haqparast | 47c | 530.51$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Haqparast | 47c | 528.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Salkilld | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Haqparast | 46c | 465$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Haqparast | 47c | 459.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Haqparast | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Salkilld | 51c | 431$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…b556backed Haqparast | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Haqparast | 55c | 420$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Haqparast | 48c | 401.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Salkilld | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Haqparast | 48c | 391.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Haqparast | 48c | 345.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Haqparast | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Salkilld | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Haqparast | 50c | 280$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Haqparast | 50c | 272.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Haqparast | 47c | 258$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Haqparast | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Haqparast | 47c | 245$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Salkilld | 54c | 237.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Salkilld | 51c | 232.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Haqparast | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Haqparast | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Haqparast | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Haqparast | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Haqparast | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Haqparast | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Haqparast | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Haqparast | 47c | 199.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Salkilld | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Salkilld | 54c | 186.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Salkilld | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…e2a2backed Haqparast | 48c | 160.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Salkilld | 39c | 160.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Salkilld | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Salkilld | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Haqparast | 47c | 149.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Haqparast | 46c | 147.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Haqparast | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Haqparast | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Haqparast | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Salkilld | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Haqparast | 47c | 110.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Salkilld | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Haqparast | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked Haqparast | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Haqparast | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Haqparast | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Haqparast | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Salkilld | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Haqparast | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…52ccbacked Haqparast | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked Haqparast | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Salkilld | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Salkilld | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…e99ebacked Salkilld | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…6f34backed Haqparast | 48c | 92.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Haqparast | 50c | 90.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Salkilld | 54c | 89.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haqparast vs. Salkilldthis page
- Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
- Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.