UFC · resolved market
Rakic vs. Murzakanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d838d41b8b0344c36523e9690cccc0f69ef9ca51e664ca492837e4c5be8ca1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murzakanovof Rakic, Murzakanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,318,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Rakic | 52c | 570,065$295,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295,781.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Murzakanov | 48c | 233,337$111,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,456.51 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Murzakanov | 50c | 118,928$59,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,620.06 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Murzakanov | 48c | 80,330$38,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,407.74 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rakic | 51c | 77,894$39,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,995.86 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Rakic | 51c | 76,251$39,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,113.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Murzakanov | 49c | 63,620$30,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,628.82 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…2c8ebacked Murzakanov | 49c | 61,216$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,216.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Murzakanov | 48c | 57,105$27,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,675.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 47,771$23,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,626.42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7b…df0cbacked Rakic | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rakic | 52c | 34,631$18,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,107.93 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rakic | 51c | 30,500$15,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,524.98 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Murzakanov | 48c | 29,705$14,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,446.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Murzakanov | 49c | 26,484$12,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,546.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rakic | 50c | 21,411$10,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,705.38 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Murzakanov | 47c | 20,512$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,835.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Rakic | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rakic | 54c | 19,935$10,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Rakic | 53c | 11,889$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.79 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Murzakanov | 48c | 10,985$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.38 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Murzakanov | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Murzakanov | 46c | 7,614$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.42 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Murzakanov | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.98 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Rakic | 50c | 6,944$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Rakic | 53c | 6,472$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 6,042$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Murzakanov | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Rakic | 52c | 5,843$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Murzakanov | 52c | 5,481$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Murzakanov | 48c | 5,235$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.46 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Murzakanov | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Murzakanov | 47c | 4,115$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.97 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Murzakanov | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Murzakanov | 48c | 4,000$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rakic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Murzakanov | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Murzakanov | 50c | 3,967$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Rakic | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Rakic | 50c | 3,767$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Rakic | 50c | 3,757$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.3 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rakic | 50c | 3,376$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rakic | 50c | 3,210$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Rakic | 49c | 3,161$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.83 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Murzakanov | 62c | 3,005$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Murzakanov | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Murzakanov | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Murzakanov | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rakic | 50c | 2,979$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.6 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 2,534$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.85 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rakic | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Rakic | 51c | 2,381$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 2,376$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.27 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Rakic | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…0e64backed Rakic | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…f946backed Rakic | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Rakic | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Rakic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked Rakic | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 1,714$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Murzakanov | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Rakic | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Rakic | 50c | 1,537$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.26 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Rakic | 50c | 1,520$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Rakic | 51c | 1,499$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.53 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Murzakanov | 49c | 1,359$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.9 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rakic | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rakic | 50c | 1,045$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.25 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Rakic | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…f86fbacked Murzakanov | 50c | 1,031$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Murzakanov | 49c | 1,020$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Rakic | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Murzakanov | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Murzakanov | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Murzakanov | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Rakic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Murzakanov | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…2b11backed Murzakanov | 50c | 964$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Rakic | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Murzakanov | 48c | 890.3$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Murzakanov | 49c | 797.76$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Murzakanov | 48c | 781.16$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rakic | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Murzakanov | 47c | 749.97$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Murzakanov | 49c | 742.59$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Rakic | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Rakic | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Murzakanov | 44c | 699.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Rakic | 52c | 684$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…518cbacked Rakic | 51c | 669.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed Rakic | 53c | 654.72$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Murzakanov | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Rakic | 64c | 643.78$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.09 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Murzakanov | 50c | 616$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Murzakanov | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff33…4aedbacked Murzakanov | 51c | 609.8$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Rakic | 53c | 605.68$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rakic | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rakic vs. Murzakanovthis page
- Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
- Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.