TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Wood vs. Delgado

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Woodof Wood, Delgado
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b97…5e12backed Delgado10c50,129$4,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.591586.7%13 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+914%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Wood44c30,836$13,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,331.9429151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wood29c26,083$7,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,570.496841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…4b16backed Delgado0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Delgado56c17,299$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,687.653751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…429cbacked Delgado0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Wood43c6,839$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.383961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Delgado57c6,417$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.8728849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Wood43c6,282$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.536829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…b587backed Delgado60c5,030$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0441…e90fbacked Wood26c3,015$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wood30c2,810$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.3518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Delgado58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Delgado58c2,069$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Wood41c2,052$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.73151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Wood40c2,009$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.6822259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Delgado60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Delgado57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14017752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Delgado56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12012052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wood42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9926743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wood39c1,496$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.3518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Delgado78c1,443$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0921554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wood40c1,425$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.7321044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Delgado58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Delgado57c1,397$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.2319544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Delgado59c1,314$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Wood41c1,302$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.182630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Wood5c1,241$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.0728043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Delgado53c1,189$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2920139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Delgado58c1,001$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5517850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wood15c972.4$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.0421247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Wood41c847.36$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.949228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Delgado59c847.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.944856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wood79c750$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1253956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wood40c721.03$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.518038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f3…a4e4backed Wood42c712.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Delgado66c652$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0730964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Wood41c650$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38212262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Wood41c650$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38236745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Wood42c646.79$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.144425%11 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Delgado58c572$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7618560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Delgado58c571.95$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2614929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wood37c518.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7410522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Wood30c500.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2826451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Delgado57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Delgado59c500$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Wood43c468.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3731855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Delgado17c460$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.214530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wood23c453.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9219230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Wood26c416$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0613650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Delgado75c333.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Wood41c317.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Wood31c295$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.856741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Wood43c293$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0113450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Wood42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Wood43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Wood43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566a…881abacked Delgado77c221.73$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Delgado58c205.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3312147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Delgado73c200$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf89…90ddbacked Delgado60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Wood39c186.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.73756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Wood26c183.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1310148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Delgado61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Wood42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.848749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Delgado65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Delgado58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8756450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd201…0634backed Delgado58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x731c…a252backed Wood42c132.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked Wood41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0f4…0d15backed Wood45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick57cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Wood42c119.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.17737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb46f…c0b9backed Delgado59c117.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.372642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb594…caeebacked Delgado69c100.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.78666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-10.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Wood43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Delgado58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5836655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Wood41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Delgado57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5722753.3%121 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Wood26c91.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.422334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Delgado58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Delgado58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Delgado58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bc…a344backed Delgado58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Delgado59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011337.2%42 W · 71 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…745fbacked Delgado60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Delgado55c78.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2512446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…8b6dbacked Wood35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.437258.3%42 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Delgado58c70.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418158%47 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Delgado58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Wood33c66.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.519547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Wood43c65.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1216655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wood43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Delgado70c54.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.13534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Delgado59c53.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.76243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wood41c53.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.730039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Delgado58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Delgado58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Wood40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Delgado70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Wood42c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.263737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.