TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,058,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,058,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c147,437$74,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,558.166445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres52c120,425$62,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,690.771,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c115,562$54,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,914.282437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres50c82,271$40,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,287.91,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres52c74,269$38,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,649.0750553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c61,000$29,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,8907441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed San Diego Padres49c37,320$18,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,033.452065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres51c33,852$17,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,587.3755253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates45c29,410$13,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,212.4821656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c18,888$8,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,877.328464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres53c16,754$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,921.681,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9915148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c14,376$8,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,129.6451756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c13,997$6,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.745,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c13,791$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.2659549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c13,673$6,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,563.172030%6 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres51c12,693$6,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,158.6998349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres58c12,311$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,172.810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c12,005$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres56c11,159$6,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.511,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c10,631$5,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.425550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c10,403$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.997349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c9,988$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.0365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c9,805$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.699335.5%33 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres53c9,210$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.171,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c8,184$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.722744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c7,384$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6183956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres50c7,113$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.579,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f62…570cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c5,883$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c5,626$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c5,620$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.317839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres50c5,227$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.256,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates29c5,096$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.232,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates32c4,565$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.528,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Diego Padres53c4,552$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.37350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c4,468$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.212,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pittsburgh Pirates3c4,372$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.159431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c3,942$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.4117753.1%94 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c3,858$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.843429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c3,345$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.591,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c3,028$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.236047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.8462447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates30c2,949$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.3512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed San Diego Padres53c2,915$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.245149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c2,835$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres71c2,742$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.711,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pittsburgh Pirates18c2,642$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.161,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates46c2,497$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.8154051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c2,293$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.5713549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres51c2,189$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.266,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Padres48c2,042$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.8430647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked San Diego Padres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,998$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.0916547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed San Diego Padres45c1,927$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.732450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c1,826$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.434443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Diego Padres54c1,716$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.491,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres58c1,704$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.162,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e7…1297backed San Diego Padres53c1,623$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates22c1,598$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.451,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.781,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed San Diego Padres49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates55c1,423$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.7411743.6%51 W · 66 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked San Diego Padres72c1,324$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.025754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed San Diego Padres52c1,219$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2727345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed San Diego Padres59c1,169$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.715753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c1,123$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.95050%25 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,103$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.841250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5391656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres61c1,096$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.171,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,092$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres61c1,090$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.231,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked San Diego Padres50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed San Diego Padres52c1,030$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed San Diego Padres57c1,029$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5823048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,021$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.081,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.84951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed San Diego Padres49c1,011$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.426267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,001$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9713441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c990.2$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres49c985.2$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.172,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates5c957.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6785635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed San Diego Padres52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2522753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres50c916.53$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.3170735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c912.29$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.92934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres55c905.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.385,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres62c901.17$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8518156.4%102 W · 79 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed San Diego Padres49c882.14$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…3d45backed San Diego Padres42c864.08$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.