MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4040a96d8b0a36d9d6467c33d4a5a7a3269b7d5eb4bfe5f240ad4ac56f3a8fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Under | 56c | 124,271$69,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,591.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 82,942$46,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,447.76 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 56c | 80,314$44,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,778.82 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 44c | 62,645$27,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,028.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 35,915$15,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,973.02 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 27,511$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,473.29 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 54c | 8,191$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.01 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 5,145$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 3,182$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 44c | 2,562$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.81 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,358$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 2,287$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,031$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 1,859$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.87 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 57c | 1,461$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,434$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 46c | 1,158$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 1,011$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.25 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 40c | 977.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.97 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 45c | 966.07$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 853.06$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.12 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 853.06$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.12 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 853.05$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.84 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 849.67$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.18 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 848$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.44 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 53c | 848$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.44 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 837.78$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 837.78$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 837.78$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 22c | 761.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.81 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 55c | 722.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 44c | 694.74$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.06 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…eee1backed Under | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 578.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 544$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 452.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 44c | 420.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 65c | 409.46$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 382.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 55c | 346.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 41c | 323$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 289.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 56c | 282.34$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 53c | 272.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 269.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 47c | 206.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Over | 36c | 190.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 69c | 190.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 182.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 178.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 175$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 55c | 173.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 150.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 141.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 57c | 130.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 35c | 125.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 59c | 121.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 97.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 95.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 23c | 93.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 45c | 89.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 45c | 88.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 70c | 85.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 84.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 54c | 69.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Under | 57c | 64.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 63.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 46c | 63.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Over | 44c | 58.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-5.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.