TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$666,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$730,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No54c178,225$95,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,933.622626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes45c129,408$58,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,713.5310357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No54c128,989$70,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,291.7815344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes46c80,610$37,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,529.642853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No54c42,329$22,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,857.6917958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes45c39,787$17,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,882.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c19,995$9,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,797.31,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes46c19,650$9,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,610.789450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes51c13,123$6,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,490.0835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7209646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes41c11,924$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,985.8827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes48c10,874$5,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,659.159636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes47c9,098$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.8179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No55c8,888$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.44045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No35c3,700$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.117139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No64c3,472$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.0869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c3,444$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c2,792$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.647256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes47c2,729$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.541,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes46c2,600$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No6c2,493$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5925329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked No2c2,484$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.17944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No55c1,867$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.866248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes46c1,848$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes45c1,505$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.512445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No40c1,421$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes46c1,400$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.9919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes47c1,198$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.013560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No56c1,050$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5884348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes47c936$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.084946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c861.89$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.371,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c808.81$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes45c788.82$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.516450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No60c739.03$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No45c658.66$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes45c622.22$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.227136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33027454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes47c572.34$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3416955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No30c474.95$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.111227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes23c435.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes66c427.11$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c423.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes45c420$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes53c412.92$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2615726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes24c408.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.812740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9931655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No53c382.33$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.634353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No55c303$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6510044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16213656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Yes46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2218562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes29c218.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.42025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes46c215.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.222737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.33043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c9…0594backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+114.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b29…d9f6backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No25c201.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No57c199.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes47c191.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb960…b8a1backed Yes46c191.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes39c186.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.29958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes46c184.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7812753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes47c165.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes71c161.76$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0429238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1712446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a54…42f1backed Yes45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e3…16e9backed Yes62c135.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c129.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes40c119.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes47c106.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.64632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5814342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546033.3%20 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes20c99.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.999027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes47c96.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.013540%14 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes44c90.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.528058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes49c81.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6735247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Yes47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.927231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17c…36e0backed No55c75.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No54c73.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No79c71.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4942862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.928246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.