Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12fd10dadea1418cebb470f5c3e594dbc6ce73a24fd9fe47fbc262ba5263a17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 26c | 100,004$26,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,001.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 74c | 70,000$51,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 74c | 38,128$28,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,913.17 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 26c | 8,888$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 74c | 4,314$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.9 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 33c | 2,913$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.18 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 2,101$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.95 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 73c | 1,856$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.08 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 1,556$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 48c | 1,126$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 27c | 856.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.18 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 74c | 645.95$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 10c | 627.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Yes | 10c | 484.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 27c | 470$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 379$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 27c | 370.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 344.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 24c | 280.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 279.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 209.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 37c | 203.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 198$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 140.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 103.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 27c | 100.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 26c | 92.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 84.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…6600backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 67c | 66.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 77c | 51.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked No | 77c | 34.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…acdfbacked Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…81b4backed Yes | 58c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 25.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.