Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7e40cb32cca1442e3c98b0fe7ce148893fc4d3beeae5ec419316b3e529d1c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 71c | 16,320$11,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.8 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 29c | 11,295$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.5 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 27c | 3,663$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.09 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 1,580$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,566$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed No | 72c | 1,390$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.54 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 688$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 680.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 598.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 68c | 530.57$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 20c | 430.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 336.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 332$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 16c | 315.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 20c | 301.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 109$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 31c | 76.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.