Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6706399e2932c2f522546ec9f14957359734c364204175dafd5fd3ab6f35bf3

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes	40c	3,609$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.19	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	54c	2,962$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,587.53	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes	40c	2,138$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.11	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No	76c	2,039$1,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.18	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.98	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes	33c	1,562$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.12	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No	69c	1,441$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.84	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	35c	1,134$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.19	306	66%202 W · 104 L	+57.3wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	41c	1,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.75	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	68c	903.05$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.83	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No	38c	900$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.9	369	54.5%201 W · 168 L	+50.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes	23c	651.33$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.9	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked No	61c	591.84$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes	41c	585.37$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed No	33c	518.18$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.18	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No	61c	500$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked No	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…b2e9backed Yes	36c	459.67$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No	51c	408.76$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.81	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes	39c	404.51$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.66	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes	41c	403.29$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes	40c	400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.89	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes	69c	365.3$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes	31c	323.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	35c	265.25$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.99	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-54%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca28…6241backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No	60c	240$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes	42c	238.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	38c	236.73$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.96	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	42c	214.29$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	60c	199.99$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No	34c	174.28$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.28	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…5fc9backed No	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-13.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed No	61c	153.66$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.66	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-35%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No	46c	146.68$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.17	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes	39c	141.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.32	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	58c	132.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.36	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Yes	42c	119.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	62cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b4c…924cbacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked No	62c	118.39$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed No	62c	107.19$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.73	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	67cpaid	+33%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976f…77ddbacked No	59c	99.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes	41c	85.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes	73c	82.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes	38c	80.44$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef08…5a6ebacked Yes	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes	72c	69.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed No	61c	59.41$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.17	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd700…7d04backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed No	62c	50.77$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes	20c	50.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c8…4b32backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…5ae5backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a9…64cbbacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	45c	48.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-25%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9de…96d8backed Yes	42c	47.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed No	61c	40.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de5…71d9backed Yes	42c	40.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes	41c	36.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No	31c	33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed No	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Yes	69c	32.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Yes	70c	32.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed09…6e5ebacked Yes	40c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f6…0c04backed Yes	71c	28.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	69cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes	40c	27.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes	41c	26.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6a…6f9fbacked Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	59c	24.39$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed No	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed No	78c	18.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.12	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?this page
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event