TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes33c9,302$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.7918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c5,616$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.1635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes13c2,941$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes21c2,410$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.665451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No67c2,371$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No68c2,170$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.4610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes21c2,100$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,085$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No69c1,950$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes26c1,927$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No68c1,860$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1122050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…63cdbacked Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes32c1,542$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.473043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c1,505$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No77c1,504$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.666860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes24c1,438$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.753161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No69c1,305$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6921154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes10c1,002$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No69c1,000$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.075054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes32c731.59$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.112634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c640.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.344,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes18c600$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.297248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No76c573.51$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.155056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes31c508.12$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.370%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes32c490.63$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15718740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes31c447.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.533336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked No69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9de…96d8backed Yes18c334.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes33c304.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No68c296.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c245.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes13c237.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes27c180.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes32c157.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No73c157$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8728070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes23c152.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes32c142$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes30c131.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes21c125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No68c120.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes32c118.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No68c115.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.989849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes10c111.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1125329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes31c97.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1711640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No68c96.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3116863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309537.9%36 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes32c92.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c87.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes30c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…1682backed Yes31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes28c77.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No69c69.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes17c63.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfef3…a321backed Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c01…6f08backed Yes35c57.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c44.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c44.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x085b…6960backed Yes32c43.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No69c42.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1610752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0de…443bbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No69c35.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d99…faa2backed Yes32c32.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x954b…2eecbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf52…30a5backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…6744backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.55259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.