Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ced7d8c2df3f3a82c464c494f3de2e7ecdfe9f2a96da4bcc54228de9eb2a307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 6,924$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.01 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 42c | 3,493$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.83 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…9340backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 46c | 2,903$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.81 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…7b97backed No | 70c | 2,858$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 2,491$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.02 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 70c | 2,275$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.37 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…e39abacked No | 70c | 2,144$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 1,677$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.67 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…4a14backed Yes | 30c | 1,668$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 71c | 1,401$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.57 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 64c | 1,135$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 942.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 901.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 28c | 875.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.96 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 840$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 31c | 691.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 34c | 606.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 28c | 573$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.56 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.33 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 29c | 512.83$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 31c | 491.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 71c | 454.21$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 65c | 398.71$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 363.34$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 76c | 263.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 15c | 235.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 27c | 161$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 66c | 151.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 30c | 147.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 70c | 142.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 136.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 107.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 30c | 98.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Yes | 23c | 97.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…66cabacked No | 66c | 63.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 75c | 58.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…d6cdbacked Yes | 73c | 50.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 41.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…faa2backed Yes | 30c | 35.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…1624backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb022…a2bebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Yes | 80c | 22.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…b2b8backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…f9e9backed Yes | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.