MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0b6aa9115150410b9e37a8f44bc506ab829f1eda12734ab2edf8a75cb81efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof New York Mets, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed New York Mets | 44c | 25,123$11,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,144.23 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 44c | 19,998$8,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.31 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,964.92 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 46c | 18,478$8,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 16,231$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.68 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 12,019$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,823$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.99 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,024$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…a28cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 9,886$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 9,361$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.52 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 48c | 8,787$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 8,702$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Mets | 37c | 8,515$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.95 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…93ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 6,960$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 5,842$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.3 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 5,313$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed New York Mets | 49c | 5,045$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…7078backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,039$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Mets | 48c | 4,850$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.8 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 4,846$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed New York Mets | 48c | 4,663$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.1 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 4,375$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.06 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 7c | 3,969$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 3,857$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 51c | 3,590$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,445$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.72 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 6c | 3,394$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked New York Mets | 49c | 3,074$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.93 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 45c | 2,924$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,574$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 52c | 2,538$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.32 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 2,460$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.06 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,421$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked New York Mets | 42c | 2,303$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,274$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.71 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…d1a2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,198$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.07 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.13 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,051$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.21 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,951$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…96ecbacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,914$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,869$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,775$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,769$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.12 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,469$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.3 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,393$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.3 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,364$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.17 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,242$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.06 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,197$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.52 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb1…e2dbbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,112$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,023$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 34c | 924.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 913.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 45c | 912.23$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 869$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 821.26$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked New York Mets | 36c | 804.58$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 771.35$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 45c | 750.42$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 739.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.18 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked New York Mets | 8c | 729.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 694.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 676.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 615.78$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 614.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 593.43$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 56c | 569.5$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 564.7$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 46c | 560.21$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 551.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Mets | 38c | 548.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed New York Mets | 47c | 522.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked New York Mets | 23c | 494.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets | 48c | 494.25$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Mets | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Mets | 4c | 471.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed New York Mets | 7c | 458.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 450.21$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 443.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 421.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed New York Mets | 26c | 409.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 45c | 406.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Mets | 48c | 403.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked New York Mets | 49c | 391.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 47c | 373.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 370.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 48c | 368.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.