Serie A · resolved market
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3868ae093ea0c887ac3fefef9e42778df8d33c205d04afcb59b0b65887c486bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 65c | 125,522$81,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,586.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 35c | 39,504$13,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,677.6 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 35c | 36,738$12,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,879.59 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 35c | 29,016$10,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,860.23 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 35c | 12,000$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,795 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 9,136$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 6,941$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 47c | 3,697$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 3,446$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 9c | 3,444$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 3,094$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Yes | 36c | 2,775$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 2,638$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 2,522$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.38 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 2,050$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 20c | 1,975$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.31 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 65c | 1,889$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 38c | 1,682$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 1,383$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.77 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.06 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,259$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.03 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 19c | 1,222$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,153$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…9a44backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…7b17backed No | 15c | 1,049$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 999.86$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.91 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 65c | 984.62$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 35c | 850$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 62c | 787.21$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 65c | 576.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 35c | 513.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…14f2backed No | 39c | 474.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 62c | 355.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 15c | 307.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 38c | 305.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 63c | 219.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 37c | 189.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes | 66c | 187.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed No | 38c | 173.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 36c | 168.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked Yes | 36c | 159.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…8a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…ea32backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b72backed Yes | 38c | 137.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 34c | 136.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 36c | 108.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 36c | 87.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 42c | 78.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 66c | 69.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…5c5fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…744cbacked Yes | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…a504backed Yes | 73c | 54.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…2489backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…7613backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?this page
- Will Genoa vs. Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.