TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes40c35,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No60c27,958$16,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,103.2717958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No61c23,838$14,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,255.79450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes39c11,529$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4589636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c10,253$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.135758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c5,917$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.6490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Yes40c4,777$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes38c4,200$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5965240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5209917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5603540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c3,754$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.1827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No60c3,082$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.8720140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No37c2,369$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.199148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes42c2,344$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c1,972$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.486,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4b8…a992backed Yes40c1,707$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfb…5ce8backed No60c1,705$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c1,543$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.761,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes8c1,403$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.199450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes39c1,369$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8410455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c683.87$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.984,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c624$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No55c472.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.516737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No36c472$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.0825329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes6c444$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4227024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes22c429.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.354454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No60c413.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.891662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes40c408$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.25644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…ad9fbacked No62c403.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x457b…e308backed Yes40c402.18$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c377.04$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8231655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes43c360.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Yes41c243.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes38c239.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.24557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.927752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes39c196$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.535944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes41c171$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.112030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…c897backed Yes41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c134.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.47347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b8…8924backed Yes42c119.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d4…d3aabacked No61c115.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes52c115.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes38c112.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.754228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No59c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28e…adc0backed Yes40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3803…05b9backed Yes41c100.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3944036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73af…e1b3backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407839.7%31 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No60c96.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes38c91.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes41c73.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2816863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No60c63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.436845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes40c51.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.635952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31df…10cabacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83f…a43bbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…2875backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee9…275cbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes32c48.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.