Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966b064435ec900fd533eee091649a418becb436d1b2af390846bb222ca7a97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 8,570$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 4,298$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.27 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 2,145$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…4f9bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,131$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 75c | 2,025$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.3 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 36c | 1,923$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.27 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 26c | 1,600$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.92 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 66c | 1,303$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.93 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 64c | 1,162$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.82 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 31c | 1,010$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 49c | 884.45$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 812$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 36c | 790$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.6 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 31c | 677.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 501.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 26c | 499.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 404.36$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 41c | 310$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 33c | 301.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 32c | 296.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 68c | 241$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed No | 70c | 219$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 213$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 198.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 32c | 147$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ef…8f0abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 45c | 84.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 47c | 61.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 51.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…eff7backed Yes | 32c | 43.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 30c | 38.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 32c | 37.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 69c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Leeds United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.