Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47497f38f30a2d968d59403f92954e69ad3b69eab5a568dfbac1754da593ffab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 33c | 5,182$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.76 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed No | 72c | 2,802$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 32c | 2,353$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.66 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,664$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,409$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 70c | 1,344$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 1,130$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 30c | 841.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 625$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 520.68$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 480$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 21c | 287.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 277$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 32c | 250.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 223.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 31c | 161.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…9fc9backed Yes | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…3ac1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 28c | 45.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…9565backed No | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.