TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes18c29,998$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.6110952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c26,282$20,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No69c14,003$9,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.6124657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No67c6,919$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.861233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes33c6,260$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.7816045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes26c5,432$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c5,363$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.0816154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c3,282$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.2644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c2,863$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c2,740$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8813754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes35c2,728$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes36c2,553$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes36c2,222$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No73c2,158$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.824052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes35c2,020$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.141233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes18c2,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.951323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No64c1,888$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No66c1,273$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.75240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No65c1,265$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.978558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes36c1,263$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No64c1,213$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.863171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes35c1,171$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.471540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes35c1,138$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes35c724.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No64c714.38$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…e036backed No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd303…60c5backed Yes34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No64c689.34$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.164060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes35c596.08$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.572128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes34c590$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.614254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Yes34c517.65$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes29c512.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.722445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No64c450$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes34c431.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes37c400.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.328334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes37c382.27$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No79c346$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No71c330.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.842445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes28c300.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb3…315bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Yes24c249.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes35c247.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.913752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c240$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No65c239.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes12c222$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.645125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes35c214.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No65c177.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes29c172.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No64c169.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked Yes30c164.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes36c148.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.496035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7028…e0e9backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebd…5c09backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No64c129.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No78c121$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.494346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2084…76bebacked Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…1d33backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked No64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes21c93.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes35c92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.213840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+86.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.710339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes36c77.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…d44dbacked Yes36c77.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No64c74.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.824245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe081…2b52backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes34c68.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.444930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…4b3ebacked Yes36c68.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…f329backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3517…8084backed Yes35c61.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.47656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0e…b82bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.