TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes34c6,127$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.953318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c4,716$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.716154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No66c3,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.988463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No62c3,016$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.288558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes34c2,761$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.61926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes35c2,050$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c2,010$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.3444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c1,812$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c1,672$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.12,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5182454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed No67c1,148$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.681650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c1,054$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No78c980.27$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.094052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99e…28fbbacked Yes35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c777$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.895125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c762.25$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1622551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No66c757.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c597.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No65c570.72$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No65c510$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.674060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Yes37c480.17$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Yes18c416.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c405.29$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5113754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No65c270.26$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.595240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked No72c243.9$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c240$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398a…5f84backed Yes34c230.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No72c229.1$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.158457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No78c213.88$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes31c178$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No66c170$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6936…bcfdbacked No65c166.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No66c147$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes34c144.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No66c133.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.332568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes38c132.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed Yes35c116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No64c114$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.043666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked No65c113.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes35c113$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes34c104$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes35c100.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes34c91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0523…c48dbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes36c84.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked No66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c76.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe027…ce6cbacked No65c75.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes36c73.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes35c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea30…590cbacked Yes28c69.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.584346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c5…a562backed Yes32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e2…ca98backed Yes35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec10…4d93backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…744cbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b60…98a4backed Yes43c51.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767b…895abacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…418cbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes31c38.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes35c32.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked No65c30.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed No66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed No64c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.