TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62c5…a562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Norway vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.9
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.29
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Devils (To Advance)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.48
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$12.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$14.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viktoria Plzen beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,690.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.