Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Dinamo Zagreb?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6943a152437f7cbbb7015c8af47719a38154b5415f3e5afce5a59c9e2bbb9b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 35c | 2,155$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.32 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 64c | 1,988$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.26 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 40c | 999.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 999.93$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 41c | 799.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 799.44$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…5d9abacked Yes | 65c | 503.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 66c | 496.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 68c | 479.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 40c | 438.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes | 59c | 316.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 40c | 315.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 60c | 242.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 225.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 63c | 184.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 179.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 70c | 170.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 59c | 157.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 68c | 140.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…ec8abacked Yes | 60c | 130.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 41c | 123.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 117.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 67c | 111.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 35c | 108.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…c7e5backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes | 60c | 70.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 59c | 67.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 70c | 65.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 16c | 63.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 40c | 57.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 59c | 53.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 59c | 51.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…a562backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c65…8291backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…17b3backed Yes | 59c | 37.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…e595backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…1183backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…bc7abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…4774backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 66c | 28.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c6…4ca0backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…64eabacked Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…b0eebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…815dbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 59c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Dinamo Zagreb?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Borussia Dortmund?No won
- Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.