NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49253cb7246fdaa017204e54ad05ee6b5a36cb301bd2a2170c2c54a71c3b35ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Rangers | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kraken | 64c | 2,385$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.67 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Rangers | 63c | 1,592$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Rangers | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Kraken | 36c | 1,317$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 37c | 885.91$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.12 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rangers | 80c | 714.16$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Rangers | 61c | 617.34$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.58 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 38c | 606.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.03 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 51c | 501.74$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Rangers | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Kraken | 39c | 486.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Rangers | 62c | 482.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…3d5fbacked Rangers | 62c | 381.37$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Rangers | 38c | 299.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Kraken | 38c | 264.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 65c | 210$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Kraken | 79c | 166.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Kraken | 36c | 157.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…505bbacked Rangers | 63c | 157.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Kraken | 36c | 154.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Rangers | 64c | 154.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Rangers | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…1ce2backed Kraken | 38c | 131.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 36c | 113.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Rangers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kraken | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Kraken | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Rangers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…ef81backed Rangers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kraken | 36c | 71.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 16c | 66.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Kraken | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…53c9backed Rangers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Rangers | 77c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Kraken | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…a684backed Rangers | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Rangers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Rangers | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Rangers | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Kraken | 67c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Rangers | 33c | 33.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Rangers | 77c | 32.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Rangers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…e6f4backed Kraken | 32c | 31.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…9a18backed Rangers | 68c | 31.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Rangers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…a85cbacked Rangers | 75c | 25.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…bb61backed Rangers | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…a562backed Rangers | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ddbfbacked Rangers | 80c | 18.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…4e58backed Rangers | 63c | 18.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…60ecbacked Rangers | 63c | 15.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.