TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6330…db7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.83
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+105.3%+$42.32
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$18
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$29.31
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+340.4%+$56.21
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.19
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.75
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$30.01
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$74.96
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$60.92
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$25.46
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+132.6%+$80.26
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$71.52
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sturm Graz beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$29.91
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+127.3%+$46.48
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$47.42
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Newcastle beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Arsenal beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will Southampton beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Manchester United beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+58%+$32.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.69
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.