TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Blackhawks, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74cd…a094backed Blackhawks36c3,381$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0c…e090backed Islanders64c3,354$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c1,645$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.387450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…05e2backed Blackhawks1c1,335$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb33b…abe7backed Islanders66c1,040$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Blackhawks38c734.2$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.226657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x511e…c7b5backed Blackhawks36c635.69$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21fa…42b9backed Islanders64c635.69$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Islanders66c603.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1413655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks15c602.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…a2a7backed Islanders64c554.43$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…dd66backed Blackhawks36c554.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Islanders65c503.37$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.189153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks35c499.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Blackhawks35c463.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.946137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26af…a178backed Blackhawks13c399.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks34c365.01$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blackhawks35c287.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks37c248.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.921,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Islanders65c231.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0613562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Blackhawks34c209.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Islanders65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852763%17 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Islanders66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.527650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Islanders45c146.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.675160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Blackhawks37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac99…9aefbacked Islanders65c126.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6d…fdefbacked Blackhawks35c126.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Blackhawks37c125.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blackhawks34c118$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1211445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Islanders63c105.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Blackhawks14c100.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.277444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Islanders65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks36c99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1738…41a1backed Blackhawks36c94.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…201bbacked Blackhawks36c91.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Islanders65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c3…a32fbacked Islanders65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ca…6810backed Blackhawks36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b5…0effbacked Islanders64c73.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Islanders69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c04…424bbacked Blackhawks36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Islanders64c68.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77f7…8b6abacked Blackhawks36c68.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Islanders47c65.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.968633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed9c…c9afbacked Islanders64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfe5…73d1backed Blackhawks36c61.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf05…aa64backed Blackhawks35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Blackhawks39c59.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bf…42a9backed Islanders64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Islanders65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Islanders65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…5485backed Islanders64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a04…3606backed Islanders64c46.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7a…111cbacked Islanders64c46.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3f…fd4abacked Islanders64c42.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…277dbacked Islanders64c41.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Islanders76c41.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24f4…61b1backed Islanders65c41.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf87…292cbacked Islanders64c40.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…246ebacked Islanders65c40.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Islanders47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b75…8d2bbacked Blackhawks36c38.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff0…880fbacked Blackhawks36c38.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62a0…875bbacked Blackhawks37c37.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538a…9b6dbacked Islanders63c37.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Islanders66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.884266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4df…0003backed Blackhawks36c36.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9713…002abacked Islanders64c36.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810e…de55backed Blackhawks34c36.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b21…2201backed Blackhawks36c35.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…82d1backed Blackhawks36c35.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb987…75b7backed Blackhawks36c35.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Islanders72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.723961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa29…5ef0backed Islanders64c34.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a71…2919backed Blackhawks36c34.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…46dbbacked Islanders64c34.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8136backed Islanders64c33.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0403…c1ebbacked Blackhawks36c33.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6f94backed Islanders64c33.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72cc…4d67backed Blackhawks36c32.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4da…81e9backed Blackhawks35c31.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8667…ba14backed Islanders65c31.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x626e…f7b6backed Islanders64c30.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4568…562dbacked Islanders64c30.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Islanders65c30.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5434…1e01backed Islanders65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Islanders66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x326a…ab14backed Blackhawks36c30.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc64d…2d28backed Islanders64c29.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Blackhawks37c29.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc942…2592backed Islanders64c29.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…3b85backed Islanders64c29.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9be1…afedbacked Blackhawks36c29.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc237…3ebabacked Islanders64c29.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf7…a5d6backed Blackhawks36c29.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…c880backed Blackhawks36c29.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…4919backed Islanders64c29.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.