TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Panthers, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2920…80bebacked Panthers0c25,685$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Panthers42c15,176$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,301.395743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Flames59c10,772$6,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.786657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f1…42a4backed Flames66c2,131$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames36c2,124$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.891,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Flames56c1,720$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.8735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Panthers64c1,671$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.661435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Flames36c1,671$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cec…a0fdbacked Panthers65c1,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames59c1,138$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Flames59c925.73$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.731776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers23c685.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Flames42c666.14$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Panthers50c559$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers63c515.7$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.771,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Flames57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Panthers55c253.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.437254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Panthers42c248.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.552630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Panthers65c207.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8813562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Flames37c204.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Flames58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Flames60c145.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.637448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Panthers14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers13c134.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.527450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Flames40c123.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.757444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flames34c123.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6125340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Flames35c114$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.123144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flames35c114$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flames35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames39c98.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Flames35c93.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Panthers63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.873157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3de…1bf2backed Flames36c82.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Flames35c77.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.14645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4968…9519backed Flames58c76.52$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a4…19e8backed Flames37c72.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…c051backed Panthers59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x887d…3dd2backed Panthers56c67.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Panthers38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Panthers62c64.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…46dbbacked Panthers54c63.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57df…fdc9backed Flames40c63.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Panthers65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flames36c61.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…6a5dbacked Panthers60c60.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7824…970dbacked Panthers59c59.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4a…e079backed Flames40c55.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.24875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6f…b4f1backed Panthers63c54.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d13…d6c1backed Panthers24c53.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa534…46bfbacked Flames39c51.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3d…2628backed Panthers63c48.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1618…8302backed Flames40c48.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb61…30b5backed Panthers64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf2…b245backed Panthers62c46.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d0…9562backed Flames43c45.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c2…3019backed Panthers45c44.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657a…f5ebbacked Panthers53c44.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb733…8529backed Flames39c43.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…bd52backed Flames46c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8265…f253backed Flames36c42.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91b…bfacbacked Panthers58c41.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb33e…3695backed Panthers63c41.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Flames37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.547650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8582…75b0backed Flames36c40.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa5…3c9bbacked Panthers56c39.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6249…7e40backed Flames44c39.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…676dbacked Panthers59c39.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e3f…c751backed Panthers61c39.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cb…8e69backed Panthers62c39.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6278…2df9backed Flames41c39.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3226…78f4backed Panthers62c38.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740a…79f5backed Flames36c38.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…4bffbacked Flames36c38.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4e…21b0backed Panthers60c37.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…2f75backed Panthers54c37.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf149…2f13backed Panthers54c37.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ef3…da31backed Panthers64c37.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf0…23c5backed Panthers57c37.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942c…1a7cbacked Panthers61c36.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x304a…5188backed Flames37c36.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fd2…21d5backed Panthers64c35.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b51…325dbacked Panthers63c35.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f4c…9494backed Flames37c35.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc237…3ebabacked Panthers57c35.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824f…a67fbacked Panthers58c35.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Flames37c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x367c…d6c2backed Panthers64c34.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd018…7b2cbacked Flames36c34.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ac…ab8fbacked Panthers64c34.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98c5…3702backed Flames41c34.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2f…52febacked Panthers58c34.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf300…b895backed Panthers59c34.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ea…ca26backed Flames45c34.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74e…3a36backed Panthers55c34.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…c4e9backed Panthers63c34.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5850%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ae1…9991backed Flames36c33.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x607d…be36backed Flames41c33.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.