NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6894d54765467b88914e959b3b2bb6aed5e380d532dfa3457d2f7c1f6a97b783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Lightning | 61c | 3,120$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…3d5fbacked Lightning | 39c | 2,560$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…b299backed Canucks | 51c | 801.49$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canucks | 38c | 643.53$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Lightning | 47c | 601$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Canucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lightning | 67c | 405.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Canucks | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canucks | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Canucks | 53c | 272.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 44c | 248.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Lightning | 61c | 228.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Canucks | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Lightning | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Canucks | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks | 56c | 207.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Lightning | 50c | 203.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…da68backed Canucks | 50c | 203.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Lightning | 50c | 202.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…6382backed Canucks | 50c | 202.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Lightning | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…2cb4backed Canucks | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2b42backed Canucks | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd2…26aebacked Lightning | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…4bdabacked Canucks | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…3ec5backed Lightning | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…9a07backed Lightning | 51c | 201.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…e0fabacked Canucks | 49c | 201.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a4b6backed Canucks | 50c | 201.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…d0e4backed Lightning | 50c | 201.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Lightning | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…c8d3backed Canucks | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…a6a4backed Canucks | 50c | 200.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…9ddabacked Lightning | 50c | 200.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…4adbbacked Lightning | 50c | 200.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…aed6backed Canucks | 50c | 200.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c5…d103backed Lightning | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…2032backed Canucks | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Lightning | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…a870backed Lightning | 50c | 199.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…ebc5backed Canucks | 50c | 199.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…482abacked Lightning | 50c | 197.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…59d0backed Canucks | 50c | 197.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Canucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canucks | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…6bd8backed Lightning | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…b096backed Canucks | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…a6eebacked Canucks | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…19f5backed Lightning | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…c4e8backed Lightning | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…66fabacked Canucks | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…9054backed Lightning | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…654bbacked Canucks | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Canucks | 51c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Lightning | 51c | 128.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Canucks | 49c | 124.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Canucks | 50c | 123.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 46c | 107.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…3facbacked Canucks | 52c | 105.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 44c | 101.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Canucks | 48c | 101.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Canucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Canucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lightning | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Canucks | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Lightning | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Canucks | 47c | 96.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Canucks | 44c | 91.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Lightning | 56c | 91.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lightning | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Lightning | 49c | 62.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Lightning | 49c | 50.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Lightning | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…a684backed Lightning | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Lightning | 52c | 46.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Lightning | 49c | 44.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…4433backed Canucks | 52c | 43.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…9db5backed Lightning | 48c | 43.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Canucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a7…0b44backed Canucks | 54c | 38.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…5ceabacked Lightning | 46c | 38.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…808fbacked Canucks | 53c | 36.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…03d0backed Lightning | 47c | 36.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +339.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…5f53backed Canucks | 55c | 35.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacec…4ad4backed Lightning | 45c | 35.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…3e6abacked Lightning | 45c | 33.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…58c0backed Canucks | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…e51dbacked Canucks | 70c | 29.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…161dbacked Canucks | 52c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…71cdbacked Canucks | 70c | 28.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…18cabacked Lightning | 45c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…d68fbacked Canucks | 52c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…6b88backed Lightning | 48c | 23.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…4cd9backed Canucks | 70c | 22.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…1d71backed Canucks | 55c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e0…f1aabacked Canucks | 53c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…6f16backed Canucks | 54c | 20.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +316.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…2f71backed Canucks | 69c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.