Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5dbabfa342ee224c5e22cf5bbe3d94878f4ae9e2402f9c74c40dd013f6be561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 45c | 6,868$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.2 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 50c | 4,833$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.37 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 45c | 1,730$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.96 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,637$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 1,190$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.4 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,154$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked No | 25c | 1,145$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 55c | 1,090$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.08 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 55c | 909.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 60c | 805.58$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…834cbacked No | 54c | 371.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 43c | 358.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 27c | 280.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 70c | 252.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed Yes | 53c | 245.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 53c | 210.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…738fbacked Yes | 32c | 206.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 54c | 170.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…616abacked Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 47c | 109.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 70c | 101.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…a9ebbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…4bc5backed Yes | 65c | 88.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 56c | 88.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…6758backed Yes | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 50c | 79.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 55c | 70.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 44c | 61.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…b99ebacked Yes | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…ee15backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…1cecbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…ed1fbacked Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…bab3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…ec52backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…900abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 55c | 30.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57da…9ea4backed No | 48c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…4549backed Yes | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 72c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?this page
- Will Wolverhampton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.