Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938ef056ed28bb1562543e58d50efcb7bee1d739729bfca672e7d2d42dfefd58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9937…738fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,490$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…834cbacked Yes | 7c | 977.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 24c | 476.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 246.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 18c | 244.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 28c | 230.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed Yes | 20c | 229.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 20c | 207$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 20c | 150.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…6b4bbacked Yes | 19c | 112.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…95c0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…43fdbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 78c | 54.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…16ebbacked No | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…85cebacked No | 80c | 28.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…1281backed No | 79c | 22.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539b…d322backed No | 78c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…8b5dbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…aea8backed No | 79c | 14.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?this page
- Will Wolverhampton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.