Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray beat Malmo FF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37575c91e9246e593cf9d2502a287e9817cb6c52863540ac30f8cd72bd6c7953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ed…21abbacked No | 21c | 115,781$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,980.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 80c | 114,965$91,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,971.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 55c | 22,566$12,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.32 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 15,420$7,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,468.83 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 49c | 9,421$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 8,117$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.77 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed No | 52c | 3,914$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 52c | 3,800$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…67c7backed Yes | 49c | 3,001$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 52c | 2,970$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…65ecbacked Yes | 32c | 2,893$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,250$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.06 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 49c | 1,603$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.89 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…18d5backed No | 16c | 1,080$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +314.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 51c | 1,059$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.59 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed No | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 40c | 996.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 5c | 760$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 16c | 682$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.88 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 285.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 49c | 276.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 49c | 262.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Yes | 50c | 217.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…44d3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…e801backed Yes | 50c | 173.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 51c | 160.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 113.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…aa76backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 49c | 98.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 48c | 94.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 28c | 88.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…c301backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 49c | 63.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…51abbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…bf99backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ff…d548backed Yes | 50c | 47.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…2a8cbacked Yes | 47c | 43.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…99f0backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…ac87backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…2f30backed Yes | 50c | 40.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…2663backed Yes | 37c | 39.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 66c | 38.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 30c | 36.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…63bbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…b32fbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 49c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed No | 54c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…374ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc57…a701backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray beat Malmo FF?this page
- Will Malmo FF beat Galatasaray?No won
- Will the match between Malmo FF and Galatasaray end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.