TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No71c40,882$29,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,026.283748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No72c25,418$18,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,200.812359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes29c23,152$6,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,519.124746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes31c22,159$6,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,345.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No72c16,251$11,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,723.381258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes63c12,738$7,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.732060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes28c11,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9201050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No43c10,591$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.2810736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab46…eb4ebacked Yes56c6,227$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No52c5,017$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.0630754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked No47c4,963$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Yes29c4,784$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes56c4,168$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.781952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8401040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No50c3,532$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.758040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes29c3,499$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.634544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes29c3,438$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.932030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Yes28c3,300$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes29c3,253$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked No72c3,231$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No75c3,219$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes27c2,744$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.914060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No60c2,721$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.532462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes29c2,582$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8331050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes28c2,579$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.6611132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac73…12dabacked Yes28c2,370$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No72c2,327$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.3217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No49c2,043$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4601154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+410.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes52c1,920$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7110931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes50c1,741$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes30c1,676$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.8636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes29c1,635$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.751233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes56c1,589$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9820948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…d55dbacked No74c1,430$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Yes26c1,428$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+196.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No39c1,424$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.665343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5c…903dbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.31540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked No53c1,175$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked No43c1,158$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…35adbacked No72c1,138$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No72c1,111$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Yes54c1,103$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+560.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No71c1,094$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.722755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed No54c1,074$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes75c1,054$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed No72c1,050$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes29c1,049$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes30c1,017$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7515250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…99f5backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No44c950$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.98151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed Yes65c796.44$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes56c773.36$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…35e6backed No73c753.42$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6610631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…aee5backed Yes28c623.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes66c617.24$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3817348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c564$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…6291backed Yes65c560$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+176.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.56633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed Yes80c547$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+103.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…688fbacked Yes28c535.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.66580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+116.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes64c527.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd110…cb4cbacked Yes29c513.79$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Yes28c501.93$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes27c501.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.874337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No72c439.62$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5315442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes29c431.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No46c423.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.696735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed No73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No55c400$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes26c400$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2974531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes29c393.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.528433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07a7…2ecabacked Yes29c377.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc430…3c45backed Yes28c370$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes28c363.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.544637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes29c347.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.791833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes64c346.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3320667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.835149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No22c337.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8925735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6a…3dacbacked Yes28c321.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf282…8d92backed Yes61c317.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8222…8b4ebacked Yes80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7581…9679backed Yes28c303.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.571643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No72c301$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb584…4432backed Yes79c280.23$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No71c279.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes55c279.54$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6325450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.